| Estimate | Std. Error | 95% CI lower | 95% CI upper | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSB North Mean Recruitment | 13037.146 | 3331.785 | 7900.393 | 2.151376e+04 |
| BSB North NAA \(\sigma\) (age 1) | 0.944 | 0.128 | 0.724 | 1.232000e+00 |
| BSB North NAA \(\sigma\) (age 2) | 0.836 | 0.044 | 0.755 | 9.260000e-01 |
| REC CPA fully selected q | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000000e+00 |
| VAST Spring fully selected q | 0.009 | 0.001 | 0.007 | 1.200000e-02 |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 1 | 0.015 | 0.010 | 0.004 | 5.300000e-02 |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 2 | 0.324 | 0.156 | 0.106 | 6.580000e-01 |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 3 | 0.783 | 0.189 | 0.290 | 9.700000e-01 |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 4 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 5 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 6 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 7 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 8+ | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 1 | 0.034 | 0.032 | 0.005 | 1.880000e-01 |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 2 | 0.336 | 0.212 | 0.073 | 7.640000e-01 |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 3 | 0.592 | 0.232 | 0.181 | 9.050000e-01 |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 4 | 0.800 | 0.157 | 0.370 | 9.650000e-01 |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 5 | 0.899 | 0.092 | 0.547 | 9.850000e-01 |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 6 | 0.956 | 0.045 | 0.721 | 9.950000e-01 |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 7 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 8+ | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 1 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 2 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 3 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 4 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 5 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 6 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 7 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 8+ | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 1 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 2 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 3 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 4 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 5 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 6 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 7 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 8+ | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 1 | 0.185 | 0.068 | 0.085 | 3.560000e-01 |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 2 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 3 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 4 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 5 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 6 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 7 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 8+ | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 6: Mean \(a_{50}\) | 1.792 | 0.281 | 1.302 | 2.400000e+00 |
| Block 6: Mean 1/slope (increasing) | 0.412 | 0.095 | 0.261 | 6.450000e-01 |
| Block 1: Selectivity RE \(\sigma\) | 0.000 | 0.010 | 0.000 | 3.374415e+41 |
| Block 1: Selectivity RE AR1 \(\rho\) (age) | 1.000 | 0.000 | -1.000 | 1.000000e+00 |
| Block 1: Selectivity RE AR1 \(\rho\) (year) | 0.558 | 0.110 | 0.444 | 9.670000e-01 |
| Block 2: Selectivity RE \(\sigma\) | 0.223 | 0.031 | 0.169 | 2.930000e-01 |
| Block 2: Selectivity RE AR1 \(\rho\) (age) | 0.500 | 0.066 | 0.630 | 8.960000e-01 |
| Block 2: Selectivity RE AR1 \(\rho\) (year) | 0.736 | 0.023 | 0.878 | 9.840000e-01 |
| Block 5: Selectivity RE \(\sigma\) | 0.245 | 0.064 | 0.146 | 4.090000e-01 |
| Block 5: Selectivity RE AR1 \(\rho\) (year) | 0.648 | 0.082 | 0.520 | 9.870000e-01 |
| Block 6: Selectivity RE \(\sigma\) | 0.350 | 0.081 | 0.222 | 5.510000e-01 |
| Block 6: Selectivity RE AR1 \(\rho\) (year) | 0.412 | 0.146 | 0.300 | 8.940000e-01 |
| Commercial in North age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) | 37.777 | 2.171 | 33.753 | 4.228100e+01 |
| Recreational in North age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) | 2.993 | 0.362 | 2.361 | 3.792000e+00 |
| REC CPA in North age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) | 3.286 | 0.362 | 2.647 | 4.079000e+00 |
| VAST Spring in North age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) | 50.548 | 2.462 | 45.947 | 5.561000e+01 |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1989 | 8199 | 4523 | 2170 | 998 | 458 | 209 | 96 | 80 |
| 1990 | 6326 | 2134 | 1639 | 332 | 191 | 32 | 4 | 30 |
| 1991 | 4369 | 3105 | 469 | 580 | 96 | 22 | 2 | 30 |
| 1992 | 3760 | 3678 | 225 | 76 | 249 | 42 | 12 | 91 |
| 1993 | 2126 | 2063 | 516 | 434 | 42 | 377 | 15 | 23 |
| 1994 | 21199 | 553 | 2040 | 173 | 225 | 22 | 60 | 9 |
| 1995 | 22352 | 1522 | 407 | 83 | 73 | 5 | 10 | 22 |
| 1996 | 23106 | 3187 | 473 | 124 | 29 | 54 | 6 | 9 |
| 1997 | 3452 | 8831 | 616 | 142 | 99 | 14 | 27 | 15 |
| 1998 | 2189 | 3711 | 896 | 572 | 91 | 125 | 8 | 46 |
| 1999 | 43327 | 2751 | 711 | 386 | 151 | 79 | 50 | 32 |
| 2000 | 33799 | 5372 | 771 | 672 | 142 | 166 | 16 | 29 |
| 2001 | 11435 | 4740 | 2820 | 739 | 444 | 157 | 226 | 7 |
| 2002 | 22794 | 9031 | 4166 | 1889 | 216 | 71 | 79 | 30 |
| 2003 | 6886 | 4711 | 2601 | 2056 | 978 | 84 | 33 | 20 |
| 2004 | 3038 | 2856 | 5143 | 754 | 1120 | 290 | 3 | 21 |
| 2005 | 7290 | 3807 | 1117 | 1623 | 707 | 540 | 124 | 40 |
| 2006 | 25175 | 7157 | 1856 | 1627 | 1900 | 271 | 363 | 2 |
| 2007 | 18921 | 8604 | 3586 | 917 | 594 | 626 | 274 | 40 |
| 2008 | 22698 | 10256 | 3940 | 1329 | 358 | 278 | 187 | 124 |
| 2009 | 23696 | 13956 | 6778 | 4334 | 1055 | 74 | 30 | 170 |
| 2010 | 10720 | 10687 | 9893 | 5700 | 3342 | 469 | 23 | 28 |
| 2011 | 20316 | 7276 | 4865 | 3789 | 1464 | 923 | 121 | 19 |
| 2012 | 90529 | 23003 | 11548 | 4968 | 3754 | 1451 | 696 | 147 |
| 2013 | 28485 | 24355 | 4576 | 3913 | 2203 | 1418 | 432 | 262 |
| 2014 | 13962 | 12519 | 29630 | 4643 | 2581 | 1506 | 932 | 493 |
| 2015 | 13970 | 12641 | 10521 | 15728 | 2878 | 1313 | 657 | 633 |
| 2016 | 53343 | 17632 | 5185 | 4904 | 14009 | 1697 | 1079 | 761 |
| 2017 | 19739 | 35386 | 7982 | 3371 | 3207 | 8129 | 609 | 518 |
| 2018 | 6425 | 12193 | 21362 | 4845 | 1815 | 2146 | 6163 | 699 |
| 2019 | 23573 | 6254 | 12405 | 23423 | 4130 | 1641 | 1511 | 5055 |
| 2020 | 28219 | 13964 | 5791 | 11298 | 13438 | 2611 | 1273 | 4203 |
| 2021 | 25694 | 15145 | 14245 | 4442 | 6292 | 10496 | 1641 | 4185 |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1989 | 0.004 | 0.080 | 0.166 | 0.199 | 0.199 | 0.199 | 0.199 | 0.199 |
| 1990 | 0.009 | 0.183 | 0.420 | 0.524 | 0.524 | 0.524 | 0.524 | 0.524 |
| 1991 | 0.015 | 0.205 | 0.322 | 0.353 | 0.353 | 0.353 | 0.353 | 0.353 |
| 1992 | 0.026 | 0.222 | 0.280 | 0.292 | 0.292 | 0.292 | 0.292 | 0.292 |
| 1993 | 0.023 | 0.149 | 0.177 | 0.183 | 0.183 | 0.183 | 0.183 | 0.183 |
| 1994 | 0.019 | 0.160 | 0.202 | 0.210 | 0.210 | 0.210 | 0.210 | 0.210 |
| 1995 | 0.024 | 0.249 | 0.336 | 0.355 | 0.355 | 0.355 | 0.355 | 0.355 |
| 1996 | 0.018 | 0.295 | 0.521 | 0.590 | 0.590 | 0.590 | 0.590 | 0.590 |
| 1997 | 0.006 | 0.126 | 0.285 | 0.353 | 0.353 | 0.353 | 0.353 | 0.353 |
| 1998 | 0.005 | 0.116 | 0.295 | 0.386 | 0.386 | 0.386 | 0.386 | 0.386 |
| 1999 | 0.007 | 0.163 | 0.474 | 0.669 | 0.669 | 0.669 | 0.669 | 0.669 |
| 2000 | 0.003 | 0.084 | 0.239 | 0.333 | 0.333 | 0.333 | 0.333 | 0.333 |
| 2001 | 0.004 | 0.090 | 0.271 | 0.392 | 0.392 | 0.392 | 0.392 | 0.392 |
| 2002 | 0.003 | 0.071 | 0.217 | 0.314 | 0.314 | 0.314 | 0.314 | 0.314 |
| 2003 | 0.001 | 0.029 | 0.125 | 0.247 | 0.247 | 0.247 | 0.247 | 0.247 |
| 2004 | 0.001 | 0.031 | 0.155 | 0.388 | 0.388 | 0.388 | 0.388 | 0.388 |
| 2005 | 0.001 | 0.016 | 0.087 | 0.278 | 0.278 | 0.278 | 0.278 | 0.278 |
| 2006 | 0.000 | 0.010 | 0.060 | 0.216 | 0.216 | 0.216 | 0.216 | 0.216 |
| 2007 | 0.001 | 0.019 | 0.103 | 0.313 | 0.313 | 0.313 | 0.313 | 0.313 |
| 2008 | 0.001 | 0.020 | 0.087 | 0.176 | 0.176 | 0.176 | 0.176 | 0.176 |
| 2009 | 0.000 | 0.011 | 0.039 | 0.066 | 0.066 | 0.066 | 0.066 | 0.066 |
| 2010 | 0.000 | 0.007 | 0.028 | 0.056 | 0.056 | 0.056 | 0.056 | 0.056 |
| 2011 | 0.001 | 0.015 | 0.055 | 0.092 | 0.092 | 0.092 | 0.092 | 0.092 |
| 2012 | 0.000 | 0.011 | 0.033 | 0.048 | 0.048 | 0.048 | 0.048 | 0.048 |
| 2013 | 0.001 | 0.026 | 0.069 | 0.092 | 0.092 | 0.092 | 0.092 | 0.092 |
| 2014 | 0.001 | 0.021 | 0.052 | 0.067 | 0.067 | 0.067 | 0.067 | 0.067 |
| 2015 | 0.001 | 0.019 | 0.052 | 0.072 | 0.072 | 0.072 | 0.072 | 0.072 |
| 2016 | 0.001 | 0.024 | 0.062 | 0.083 | 0.083 | 0.083 | 0.083 | 0.083 |
| 2017 | 0.002 | 0.054 | 0.136 | 0.177 | 0.177 | 0.177 | 0.177 | 0.177 |
| 2018 | 0.002 | 0.042 | 0.098 | 0.123 | 0.123 | 0.123 | 0.123 | 0.123 |
| 2019 | 0.002 | 0.037 | 0.082 | 0.101 | 0.101 | 0.101 | 0.101 | 0.101 |
| 2020 | 0.002 | 0.037 | 0.076 | 0.091 | 0.091 | 0.091 | 0.091 | 0.091 |
| 2021 | 0.002 | 0.038 | 0.080 | 0.096 | 0.096 | 0.096 | 0.096 | 0.096 |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1989 | 0.004 | 0.080 | 0.166 | 0.199 | 0.199 | 0.199 | 0.199 | 0.199 |
| 1990 | 0.009 | 0.183 | 0.420 | 0.524 | 0.524 | 0.524 | 0.524 | 0.524 |
| 1991 | 0.015 | 0.205 | 0.322 | 0.353 | 0.353 | 0.353 | 0.353 | 0.353 |
| 1992 | 0.026 | 0.222 | 0.280 | 0.292 | 0.292 | 0.292 | 0.292 | 0.292 |
| 1993 | 0.023 | 0.149 | 0.177 | 0.183 | 0.183 | 0.183 | 0.183 | 0.183 |
| 1994 | 0.019 | 0.160 | 0.202 | 0.210 | 0.210 | 0.210 | 0.210 | 0.210 |
| 1995 | 0.024 | 0.249 | 0.336 | 0.355 | 0.355 | 0.355 | 0.355 | 0.355 |
| 1996 | 0.018 | 0.295 | 0.521 | 0.590 | 0.590 | 0.590 | 0.590 | 0.590 |
| 1997 | 0.006 | 0.126 | 0.285 | 0.353 | 0.353 | 0.353 | 0.353 | 0.353 |
| 1998 | 0.005 | 0.116 | 0.295 | 0.386 | 0.386 | 0.386 | 0.386 | 0.386 |
| 1999 | 0.007 | 0.163 | 0.474 | 0.669 | 0.669 | 0.669 | 0.669 | 0.669 |
| 2000 | 0.003 | 0.084 | 0.239 | 0.333 | 0.333 | 0.333 | 0.333 | 0.333 |
| 2001 | 0.004 | 0.090 | 0.271 | 0.392 | 0.392 | 0.392 | 0.392 | 0.392 |
| 2002 | 0.003 | 0.071 | 0.217 | 0.314 | 0.314 | 0.314 | 0.314 | 0.314 |
| 2003 | 0.001 | 0.029 | 0.125 | 0.247 | 0.247 | 0.247 | 0.247 | 0.247 |
| 2004 | 0.001 | 0.031 | 0.155 | 0.388 | 0.388 | 0.388 | 0.388 | 0.388 |
| 2005 | 0.001 | 0.016 | 0.087 | 0.278 | 0.278 | 0.278 | 0.278 | 0.278 |
| 2006 | 0.000 | 0.010 | 0.060 | 0.216 | 0.216 | 0.216 | 0.216 | 0.216 |
| 2007 | 0.001 | 0.019 | 0.103 | 0.313 | 0.313 | 0.313 | 0.313 | 0.313 |
| 2008 | 0.001 | 0.020 | 0.087 | 0.176 | 0.176 | 0.176 | 0.176 | 0.176 |
| 2009 | 0.000 | 0.011 | 0.039 | 0.066 | 0.066 | 0.066 | 0.066 | 0.066 |
| 2010 | 0.000 | 0.007 | 0.028 | 0.056 | 0.056 | 0.056 | 0.056 | 0.056 |
| 2011 | 0.001 | 0.015 | 0.055 | 0.092 | 0.092 | 0.092 | 0.092 | 0.092 |
| 2012 | 0.000 | 0.011 | 0.033 | 0.048 | 0.048 | 0.048 | 0.048 | 0.048 |
| 2013 | 0.001 | 0.026 | 0.069 | 0.092 | 0.092 | 0.092 | 0.092 | 0.092 |
| 2014 | 0.001 | 0.021 | 0.052 | 0.067 | 0.067 | 0.067 | 0.067 | 0.067 |
| 2015 | 0.001 | 0.019 | 0.052 | 0.072 | 0.072 | 0.072 | 0.072 | 0.072 |
| 2016 | 0.001 | 0.024 | 0.062 | 0.083 | 0.083 | 0.083 | 0.083 | 0.083 |
| 2017 | 0.002 | 0.054 | 0.136 | 0.177 | 0.177 | 0.177 | 0.177 | 0.177 |
| 2018 | 0.002 | 0.042 | 0.098 | 0.123 | 0.123 | 0.123 | 0.123 | 0.123 |
| 2019 | 0.002 | 0.037 | 0.082 | 0.101 | 0.101 | 0.101 | 0.101 | 0.101 |
| 2020 | 0.002 | 0.037 | 0.076 | 0.091 | 0.091 | 0.091 | 0.091 | 0.091 |
| 2021 | 0.002 | 0.038 | 0.080 | 0.096 | 0.096 | 0.096 | 0.096 | 0.096 |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1989 | 0.006 | 0.167 | 0.258 | 0.279 | 0.283 | 0.285 | 0.288 | 0.288 |
| 1990 | 0.010 | 0.164 | 0.220 | 0.233 | 0.235 | 0.236 | 0.239 | 0.239 |
| 1991 | 0.008 | 0.126 | 0.194 | 0.212 | 0.215 | 0.217 | 0.220 | 0.220 |
| 1992 | 0.004 | 0.054 | 0.080 | 0.088 | 0.090 | 0.091 | 0.092 | 0.092 |
| 1993 | 0.010 | 0.107 | 0.147 | 0.161 | 0.163 | 0.165 | 0.166 | 0.166 |
| 1994 | 0.016 | 0.119 | 0.156 | 0.169 | 0.171 | 0.173 | 0.174 | 0.174 |
| 1995 | 0.011 | 0.083 | 0.126 | 0.140 | 0.143 | 0.144 | 0.146 | 0.146 |
| 1996 | 0.009 | 0.063 | 0.114 | 0.131 | 0.134 | 0.136 | 0.138 | 0.138 |
| 1997 | 0.009 | 0.069 | 0.146 | 0.174 | 0.179 | 0.182 | 0.185 | 0.185 |
| 1998 | 0.005 | 0.032 | 0.077 | 0.096 | 0.100 | 0.102 | 0.104 | 0.104 |
| 1999 | 0.014 | 0.089 | 0.163 | 0.195 | 0.201 | 0.204 | 0.207 | 0.207 |
| 2000 | 0.020 | 0.123 | 0.213 | 0.261 | 0.270 | 0.275 | 0.280 | 0.280 |
| 2001 | 0.015 | 0.088 | 0.197 | 0.281 | 0.299 | 0.309 | 0.316 | 0.316 |
| 2002 | 0.016 | 0.078 | 0.184 | 0.311 | 0.344 | 0.362 | 0.373 | 0.373 |
| 2003 | 0.013 | 0.064 | 0.149 | 0.284 | 0.330 | 0.355 | 0.369 | 0.369 |
| 2004 | 0.009 | 0.045 | 0.089 | 0.163 | 0.190 | 0.203 | 0.211 | 0.211 |
| 2005 | 0.013 | 0.063 | 0.130 | 0.228 | 0.271 | 0.293 | 0.306 | 0.306 |
| 2006 | 0.011 | 0.049 | 0.098 | 0.170 | 0.198 | 0.211 | 0.218 | 0.218 |
| 2007 | 0.015 | 0.070 | 0.150 | 0.236 | 0.265 | 0.278 | 0.285 | 0.285 |
| 2008 | 0.014 | 0.064 | 0.153 | 0.264 | 0.305 | 0.320 | 0.330 | 0.330 |
| 2009 | 0.015 | 0.069 | 0.162 | 0.257 | 0.291 | 0.303 | 0.311 | 0.311 |
| 2010 | 0.014 | 0.070 | 0.158 | 0.254 | 0.293 | 0.306 | 0.315 | 0.315 |
| 2011 | 0.010 | 0.049 | 0.101 | 0.178 | 0.218 | 0.232 | 0.240 | 0.240 |
| 2012 | 0.013 | 0.060 | 0.106 | 0.198 | 0.247 | 0.263 | 0.273 | 0.273 |
| 2013 | 0.013 | 0.067 | 0.118 | 0.242 | 0.325 | 0.353 | 0.370 | 0.370 |
| 2014 | 0.010 | 0.055 | 0.097 | 0.210 | 0.290 | 0.318 | 0.335 | 0.335 |
| 2015 | 0.013 | 0.073 | 0.111 | 0.237 | 0.343 | 0.381 | 0.405 | 0.405 |
| 2016 | 0.017 | 0.092 | 0.117 | 0.222 | 0.342 | 0.390 | 0.419 | 0.419 |
| 2017 | 0.016 | 0.089 | 0.102 | 0.183 | 0.357 | 0.466 | 0.538 | 0.538 |
| 2018 | 0.009 | 0.053 | 0.059 | 0.094 | 0.184 | 0.268 | 0.334 | 0.334 |
| 2019 | 0.012 | 0.068 | 0.070 | 0.093 | 0.176 | 0.300 | 0.429 | 0.429 |
| 2020 | 0.012 | 0.069 | 0.070 | 0.081 | 0.137 | 0.253 | 0.420 | 0.420 |
| 2021 | 0.012 | 0.070 | 0.074 | 0.085 | 0.136 | 0.239 | 0.377 | 0.377 |